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How Long Will It Take to Lose Weight? Goal Date Calculator

By Robert Gadeev, founder of ego · Updated

Short answer: at a 20% calorie deficit most people lose about 0.2 to 0.55 kg (0.5 to 1.2 lb) a week, so 5 to 10 kg takes roughly 3 to 8 months. Your own date depends on your size, age and how much you move. Enter your numbers below.

This is the same forecast the ego app shows during onboarding, with the same calorie rules. It runs in your browser; nothing you type is sent anywhere.

Height (ft, in)

How the calculator works

It estimates the calories you burn in a day with the Mifflin-St Jeor equation (Mifflin et al., American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, 1990), which uses your sex, age, height and weight, then multiplies it by your activity level: 1.2 for mostly sitting up to 1.725 for very active.

To lose weight it sets your daily calories at 80% of that burn, a 20% deficit. To gain, it adds 10%. Calories never go below 1,500 a day. The gap between burn and target, at about 7,700 calories per kilogram (3,500 per pound), gives your weekly change. The pace is capped at 1% of your body weight a week for loss and 0.5% for gain, and the calculator counts the weeks to your goal from today.

Protein comes out at 2 grams per kilogram for loss or gain (1.8 to maintain). Above a BMI of 25 it uses the weight you'd have at a BMI of 25, because protein needs follow muscle, not fat.

Example dates

Calculated from October 28, 2026 with the rules above.

ProfileDaily caloriesPace per weekWeeks
Woman, 35, 165 cm, 75 → 68 kg, lightly active1,5900.36 kg (0.8 lb)20
Woman, 28, 160 cm, 62 → 57 kg, active1,6360.37 kg (0.8 lb)14
Woman, 30, 170 cm, 70 → 63 kg, desk job1,500 (minimum)0.22 kg (0.5 lb)32
Man, 30, 178 cm, 90 → 80 kg, desk job1,7930.41 kg (0.9 lb)25
Man, 40, 180 cm, 95 → 85 kg, active2,3310.53 kg (1.2 lb)19
Man, 25, 175 cm, 70 → 75 kg (gain), active2,8540.24 kg (0.5 lb)22

The third row shows the minimum at work: 80% of her burn would be 1,393 calories, the plan stops at 1,500, so the deficit is smaller and the date moves out. Walking more would move it back in, which is why the activity question matters as much as the goal weight.

What this date can't know

The forecast is a straight line, and real bodies don't lose in straight lines. The first week or two often drop faster from water and glycogen. Later, you burn less as you get lighter, so the same calories make a smaller deficit. NIH researchers modeled this in Hall et al., The Lancet, 2011 and found bodyweight responds to a lasting calorie change slowly, with half-times of about a year. Their Body Weight Planner simulates that curve if you want a second opinion.

The practical fix is simple: weigh yourself a few times a week, look at the weekly average, and re-run this calculator with your new weight every few weeks. A date that moves a little is normal. A date that keeps moving out means the calories you actually eat are higher than the target, which is where logging helps.

Frequently asked questions

How long does it take to lose 10 pounds?
At a 20% calorie deficit most people lose about 0.5 to 1.2 pounds a week, so 10 pounds takes roughly 2 to 5 months. Lighter, less active people sit at the slow end because their deficit is small; heavier, more active people sit at the fast end.
How fast is it safe to lose weight?
The CDC describes about 1 to 2 pounds a week as the gradual pace people are more likely to keep off. This calculator never projects more than 1% of your body weight a week, and never sets daily calories below 1,500.
Why doesn't the calculator give me a date?
Your estimated daily burn is so close to the 1,500 calorie minimum that a plan at that minimum barely creates a deficit. This happens most to shorter, lighter people with desk jobs. More daily movement raises your burn: try the next activity level to see the difference.
Why is my real weight loss slower than the calculator says?
The calculator treats about 7,700 calories as 1 kg (3,500 per pound) and keeps your daily burn fixed. In reality you burn less as you get lighter, and research by NIH scientists shows bodyweight responds to a calorie change slowly. Treat the date as a first estimate and re-run the calculator with your new weight every few weeks.

Hit the calories without weighing food

ego sets these calorie and protein targets for you, logs meals from a photo, barcode or a quick chat message, and builds a strength plan to help you keep muscle while the weight comes off. Free to download on iPhone (iOS 18+); see pricing.

Download on the App Store